City Risk Report
Broken Arrow, OK
Tulsa County · Pop. 106,563
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Broken Arrow buyers should model long-term cooling costs and grid reliability alongside storm risk.
Editorial review: 2026-06-19 · Data retrieved: Jun 19, 2026 at 00:00 UTC (snapshot of historical values) · For the latest live data, run a lookup on the Snapshot tool.
Overall Risk Score
Top 5% most at-risk nationally
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Overall Risk
Top 5% most at-risk nationally
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Expected Annual Loss
Top 5% most at-risk nationally
Extreme · county composite
Est. Annual Insurance
$1,950 – $5,080
Directional range
Last Major Event
2019
Regional flooding
Insurance Market Context
These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.
Market Pressure
HIGH
Oklahoma's admitted-carrier market is contracting. A broker with state-specific experience is strongly recommended.
Admitted Market Share
71%
Carriers exiting at 5.0% YoY in Oklahoma.
Residual Market
$2,730–$7,112
annual · last-resort
FAIR Plan / Citizens exposure up 56% since 2020.
Premium Strain Index
Insurance is roughly 4.7% of median household income — well above the 2% middle-income affordability benchmark (First Street flags anything above 5% as financially unsustainable).
Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $1,950 to $5,080. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.
Tulsa County Hazard Breakdown
Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).
Around the national median
Hurricane
ModerateTop 10% most at-risk nationally
Earthquake
ExtremeTop 5% most at-risk nationally
Extreme Heat
ExtremeTop 5% most at-risk nationally
Flood
ExtremeTop 10% most at-risk nationally
Wildfire
ExtremeData pending
Severe Storm / Tornado
Low riskWhat each hazard means for you
Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.
Hurricane Risk
Broken Arrow ranks in the 46th national percentile for hurricane exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.
FEMA · National Risk Index
Earthquake Risk
Broken Arrow ranks in the 90th national percentile for earthquake exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.
FEMA · National Risk Index
Extreme Heat
Broken Arrow ranks in the 100th national percentile for heat exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.
FEMA · National Risk Index
Flood Risk
Broken Arrow ranks in the 98th national percentile for flood exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.
FEMA · National Risk Index
Wildfire Risk
Broken Arrow ranks in the 91th national percentile for wildfire exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.
FEMA · National Risk Index
Severe Storm / Tornado
Broken Arrow tornado data is unavailable. Run an address lookup for parcel-specific assessment.
FEMA · National Risk Index
FEMA Flood Zone
Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?
The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.
Run a free address lookupCarrier Outlook
Oklahoma's admitted-carrier market is contracting. A broker with state-specific experience is strongly recommended.
Data Sources
Data Sources & Methodology
FEMA— National Risk Index
Retrieved June 19, 2026
Editorial Analysis
Broken Arrow, Tulsa County has an overall National Risk Index score of 98 and an expected annual loss score of 99, placing it in the extreme national risk band. The dominant local perils are extreme heat, flood, wildfire. The city-level scores below are county-level composites; actual parcel risk can differ meaningfully by neighborhood, elevation, and lot characteristics. Broken Arrow's extreme heat risk scores 100 at the 100th national percentile, placing it in the extreme band. This is among the highest exposure nationally; standard-market underwriting is increasingly selective and residual-market backup plans are worth modeling. Buyers should model long-term cooling costs, insulation, and grid reliability. Broken Arrow's flood risk scores 98 at the 98th national percentile, placing it in the extreme band. This is among the highest exposure nationally; standard-market underwriting is increasingly selective and residual-market backup plans are worth modeling. Buyers should check FEMA flood zone status, elevation certificate, and drainage history. Broken Arrow's wildfire risk scores 91 at the 91st national percentile, placing it in the extreme band. This is among the highest exposure nationally; standard-market underwriting is increasingly selective and residual-market backup plans are worth modeling. Buyers should assess defensible space, roof and vent class, and proximity to brush. The Oklahoma insurance market is currently under high pressure: admitted carriers write roughly 71% of new business and the residual market has grown roughly 56% since 2020. For higher-risk parcels in Broken Arrow, the residual market can run from $2,100 to $4,500 annually. Directional standard-market premiums for the city typically range from $1,950 to $5,080, but parcel-specific factors can move quotes well outside that band. Buyers should use the address-level snapshot tool to pin these citywide averages to the specific property under consideration. A full L2 or L3 report will also surface flood zone status, insurance-market pressure, and action items tied to the exact parcel.
— Open Data Collective
Historical Events
Regional flooding
Heavy rainfall and drainage stress produced localized flooding across the Broken Arrow area.
Hurricane impacts
Wind, rainfall, or surge effects from a named storm reached the Broken Arrow metro.
ZIP Code Risk Profile
Representative ZIP Codes
74012
Broken Arrow area
Risk varies significantly by ZIP code and parcel. Use the address-level report for precise, parcel-specific scores rather than city-wide averages.
NRI Score Components
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Broken Arrow Climate Risk FAQ
Ready to check your specific address?
Considering buying in Broken Arrow?
Two tiers, one funnel: run a free address lookup, then unlock the depth that fits your buying stage. Both options deliver a 12+ page climate brief before you go under contract.
Full Report
Tier L2
Address-level climate risk deep dive covering five hazards, 30-year projections, and an insurance cost estimate. Delivered as a PDF within 24 hours.
- Five-hazard score breakdown: flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat
- 30-year federal climate projections for heat, wildfire, and sea level rise
- Insurance premium estimate range based on state DOI filings
- Clear buy / negotiate / walk-away recommendation with plain-language reasoning
- Comparable lower-risk communities within 25 miles (up to 3 when available)
- Plain-English explanations of SFHA, BFE, residual market, and other insurance terms
- Single PDF you can share with your partner, agent, or inspector
Best for: pre-offer sanity check
Delivered: PDF by email within 24 hours
Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA
Delivered by email within 24 hours of payment.
Pre-Purchase Audit
Tier L3
Full due-diligence report for under-contract buyers. Adds parcel-level flood zone verification, state insurance market analysis, claim history, and a negotiation brief with specific seller-concession asks. Delivered as a PDF by email within 24 hours.
- Everything in the $19 Full Report
- Parcel-level FEMA flood zone verification (Zone A/AE/VE/X — point-in-polygon)
- State insurance market analysis: admitted carrier share, exit rate, residual market growth
- Premium Strain Index — insurance cost as % of local median income, with 2% / 5% affordability benchmarks
- 10-year NOAA Storm Events claim history for the ZIP code
- Negotiation leverage brief with specific, evidence-backed seller-concession asks (typically 3–5; fewer when data is limited)
- Total carrying cost estimate: HO-3 baseline + standalone perils + residual market fallback
- Identifies whether the property may become hard to insure before you close
- Gives you specific talking points for price, credits, and contingency negotiation
Best for: under-contract buyers
Delivered: PDF by email within 24 hours
Includes: 7-day no-questions-asked refund
Delivered by email within 24 hours of payment.