City Risk Report
San Jose, CA
Santa Clara County · Pop. 1,013,240
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
San Jose remains primarily a seismic market, but buyers should not ignore creek flooding and inland heat.
Editorial review: 2026-06-06 · Data retrieved: Jun 6, 2026 at 00:00 UTC (snapshot of historical values) · For the latest live data, run a lookup on the Snapshot tool.
Overall Risk Score
Above the national median (top 40%)
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Overall Risk
Above the national median (top 37%)
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Expected Loss
$19 report reveals this
Est. Insurance
$19 report reveals this
Last Major Event
2017
Coyote Creek flooding
Insurance Market Context
These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.
Insurance market data for California is band-only in the free snapshot. The full report includes admitted-carrier share, YoY exit rate, and the FAIR Plan / Citizens last-resort premium range.
$19 report
Premium Strain Index
Band: elevated· specific % in $19 report
Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $1,300 to $3,300. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.
Santa Clara County Hazard Breakdown
Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).
Bottom 20% nationally (95th percentile)
Hurricane
MinimalTop 13% nationally
Earthquake
Significant3 hazards locked
$19 report
3 more hazards in the $19 report
Includes score, source, and 30-year projection
What each hazard means for you
Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.
Hurricane Risk
San Jose is in an inland state with no Atlantic or Gulf coastline. Hurricane risk is uniformly low at the county level.
FEMA · National Risk Index
Earthquake Risk
San Jose ranks in the 94th national percentile for earthquake exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.
FEMA · National Risk Index
3 buyer action checklists locked
The full $19 report includes step-by-step buyer actions for every hazard — flood insurance quotes, defensible-space specs, wind mitigation forms, and HVAC sizing per zone.
FEMA Flood Zone
Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?
The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.
Run a free address lookupCarrier Outlook
California's admitted-carrier market is severely contracted. A broker who specializes in last-resort coverage (FAIR Plan / Citizens) is essential.
Connect with a broker who writes in CAData Sources
Data Sources & Methodology
FEMA— National Risk Index
Retrieved June 6, 2026
Editorial Analysis
In February 2017, Coyote Creek flooded through downtown San Jose and displaced more than 14,000 residents from Japantown and Rock Springs—neighborhoods that had not flooded in decades. The event was rapid and expensive, demonstrating that Silicon Valley's premium real estate assumptions do not override creek hydrology. San Jose's earthquake score of 87 sits at the 94th national percentile—the city's dominant long-run hazard, a legacy of Loma Prieta in 1989 that the regional memory has not fully set aside. Our read: the tension in San Jose buyer decisions is usually between seismic retrofit economics and neighborhood-level flood surprises. West San Jose's premium submarkets in 95129 still carry meaningful seismic exposure. Downtown's 95110 zip code faces both liquefaction sensitivity and older infrastructure questions. South San Jose's creek corridors can produce heat and flood combinations that regional averages mask. Annual premiums range from $1,300 to $3,300—one of the lower ranges in this dataset—but earthquake insurance is a separate, discretionary purchase whose economics force a genuine decision: the deductibles are high, the premiums add substantially to annual costs, and the risk of not having coverage is not theoretical in a region where the Hayward Fault runs beneath the East Bay hills. Creek-adjacent neighborhoods deserve more flood review than city marketing implies—Coyote Creek showed what happens when buyers rely on decade-old assumptions. Heat at the 61st national percentile is moderate but rising, with South San Jose running warmer than coastal Bay Area comparables. The real San Jose diligence checklist starts with the seismic disclosure and the flood zone map—in that order.
— Open Data Collective
Full editorial analysis — including neighborhood-level variations, block-by-block flood overlays, and a tailored insurance-market outlook — is available in the $19 address report.
Historical Events
Coyote Creek flooding
Flooding showed how quickly Silicon Valley assumptions can break under heavy rain.
Loma Prieta earthquake
Seismic risk remains the city's most durable physical hazard.
ZIP Code Risk Profile
Representative ZIP Codes
95110
Downtown
Liquefaction and older urban infrastructure are key issues.
95123
South San Jose
Heat and creek flooding can matter more than regional averages imply.
95124
Cambrian
Tree cover and older homes change resilience costs.
95129
West San Jose
Premium submarkets still face meaningful seismic exposure.
Risk varies significantly by ZIP code and parcel. Use the address-level report for precise, parcel-specific scores rather than city-wide averages.
NRI Score Components
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
San Jose Climate Risk FAQ
Ready to check your specific address?
Considering buying in San Jose?
Two tiers, one funnel: run a free address lookup, then unlock the depth that fits your buying stage. Both options deliver a 12-page climate brief before you go under contract.
Full Report
Tier L2
12-page address-level deep dive delivered in minutes.
- Five-hazard score breakdown (flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat)
- 30-year federal climate projections (FEMA, NOAA, USGS, EPA)
- Insurance premium estimate (range) based on state DOI filings
- Clear buy / negotiate / walk-away verdict, not a single ambiguous score
- 3 comparable lower-risk neighborhoods within 25 miles
- Saves you 6+ hours of digging through FEMA, NFIP, NRI and NOAA on your own
- Explains what SFHA, BFE, EAL and residual-market mean in plain English
- Single PDF you can hand to your partner, agent, or inspector in one share
Best for: pre-offer sanity check
Delivered: 5 minutes after payment
Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA
Pre-Purchase Audit
Tier L3
Adds parcel-level flood evaluation, state insurance-market context, claim history, and a negotiation brief on top of the $19 report.
- Everything in the $19 Full Report
- Parcel-level FEMA flood zone + BFE considerations (point-in-polygon)
- State insurance market pressure + admitted-carrier density
- Premium Strain Index (% of county median income, vs. 5% unaffordable line)
- 10-year NOAA Storm Events claim history for the ZIP
- Negotiation leverage brief with 3-5 specific, evidence-backed asks
- Optional free connection to a licensed independent broker in your state
- Saves you from discovering an uninsurable address after you've gone under contract
- Removes guesswork on what to ask for in repairs, credits, or price reduction
- Analyst editorial sign-off so you can show your agent or lender a reviewed work product, not a raw export
Best for: under-contract buyers
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Includes: editorial sign-off + 7-day refund