City Risk Report

San Jose, CA

Santa Clara County · Pop. 1,013,240

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

San Jose remains primarily a seismic market, but buyers should not ignore creek flooding and inland heat.

EarthquakeFloodExtreme Heat

Editorial review: 2026-06-06 · Data retrieved: Jun 6, 2026 at 00:00 UTC (snapshot of historical values) · For the latest live data, run a lookup on the Snapshot tool.

Above the national median (top 40%)Substantial

Overall Risk Score

Above the national median (top 40%)

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall Risk

Above the national median (top 37%)

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Expected Loss

$19 report reveals this

Est. Insurance

$19 report reveals this

Last Major Event

2017

Coyote Creek flooding

Insurance Market Context

These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.

Insurance market data for California is band-only in the free snapshot. The full report includes admitted-carrier share, YoY exit rate, and the FAIR Plan / Citizens last-resort premium range.

$19 report

Premium Strain Index

Band: elevated· specific % in $19 report

Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $1,300 to $3,300. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.

Not an insurance quote. These figures are derived from public state Department of Insurance filings and are intended to surface market pressure signals. Actual premiums depend on parcel-specific underwriting factors and carrier availability. Consult a licensed insurance broker for a binding quote.

Santa Clara County Hazard Breakdown

Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).

Bottom 20% nationally (95th percentile)

Hurricane

Minimal

Top 13% nationally

Earthquake

Significant

3 hazards locked

$19 report

Hazard
Risk Level
Score · Source
Hurricane
Bottom 20% nationally (95th percentile)· FEMA
Earthquake
Top 13% nationally· FEMA

3 more hazards in the $19 report

Includes score, source, and 30-year projection

What each hazard means for you

Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.

Hurricane Risk

Bottom 20% nationallyMinimal

San Jose is in an inland state with no Atlantic or Gulf coastline. Hurricane risk is uniformly low at the county level.

FEMA · National Risk Index

Earthquake Risk

Top 15% nationallySignificant

San Jose ranks in the 94th national percentile for earthquake exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.

FEMA · National Risk Index

3 buyer action checklists locked

The full $19 report includes step-by-step buyer actions for every hazard — flood insurance quotes, defensible-space specs, wind mitigation forms, and HVAC sizing per zone.

FEMA Flood Zone

Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?

The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.

Run a free address lookup

Carrier Outlook

California's admitted-carrier market is severely contracted. A broker who specializes in last-resort coverage (FAIR Plan / Citizens) is essential.

Connect with a broker who writes in CA

Data Sources

FEMA NRINOAAUSGSUSDAEPA
Data Sources & Methodology

FEMANational Risk Index

Retrieved June 6, 2026

View source
View full methodology

Editorial Analysis

Editor's Intelligence
Reviewed June 6, 2026

In February 2017, Coyote Creek flooded through downtown San Jose and displaced more than 14,000 residents from Japantown and Rock Springs—neighborhoods that had not flooded in decades. The event was rapid and expensive, demonstrating that Silicon Valley's premium real estate assumptions do not override creek hydrology. San Jose's earthquake score of 87 sits at the 94th national percentile—the city's dominant long-run hazard, a legacy of Loma Prieta in 1989 that the regional memory has not fully set aside. Our read: the tension in San Jose buyer decisions is usually between seismic retrofit economics and neighborhood-level flood surprises. West San Jose's premium submarkets in 95129 still carry meaningful seismic exposure. Downtown's 95110 zip code faces both liquefaction sensitivity and older infrastructure questions. South San Jose's creek corridors can produce heat and flood combinations that regional averages mask. Annual premiums range from $1,300 to $3,300—one of the lower ranges in this dataset—but earthquake insurance is a separate, discretionary purchase whose economics force a genuine decision: the deductibles are high, the premiums add substantially to annual costs, and the risk of not having coverage is not theoretical in a region where the Hayward Fault runs beneath the East Bay hills. Creek-adjacent neighborhoods deserve more flood review than city marketing implies—Coyote Creek showed what happens when buyers rely on decade-old assumptions. Heat at the 61st national percentile is moderate but rising, with South San Jose running warmer than coastal Bay Area comparables. The real San Jose diligence checklist starts with the seismic disclosure and the flood zone map—in that order.

Open Data Collective

Full editorial analysis — including neighborhood-level variations, block-by-block flood overlays, and a tailored insurance-market outlook — is available in the $19 address report.

Historical Events

2017Flood

Coyote Creek flooding

Flooding showed how quickly Silicon Valley assumptions can break under heavy rain.

1989Earthquake

Loma Prieta earthquake

Seismic risk remains the city's most durable physical hazard.

ZIP Code Risk Profile

Representative ZIP Codes

95110

Downtown

Liquefaction and older urban infrastructure are key issues.

Look up

95123

South San Jose

Heat and creek flooding can matter more than regional averages imply.

Look up

95124

Cambrian

Tree cover and older homes change resilience costs.

Look up

95129

West San Jose

Premium submarkets still face meaningful seismic exposure.

Look up

Risk varies significantly by ZIP code and parcel. Use the address-level report for precise, parcel-specific scores rather than city-wide averages.

NRI Score Components

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall RiskSubstantial
Expected Annual LossSubstantial
Social VulnerabilityModerate
Community ResilienceSubstantial
Resident count at elevated risk
in $19 report

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San Jose Climate Risk FAQ

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12-page address-level deep dive delivered in minutes.

  • Five-hazard score breakdown (flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat)
  • 30-year federal climate projections (FEMA, NOAA, USGS, EPA)
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Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA

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$99per property

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  • Everything in the $19 Full Report
  • Parcel-level FEMA flood zone + BFE considerations (point-in-polygon)
  • State insurance market pressure + admitted-carrier density
  • Premium Strain Index (% of county median income, vs. 5% unaffordable line)
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