City Risk Report

Dallas, TX

Dallas County · Pop. 1,304,379

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Dallas is more a heat-and-flash-flood city than a classic coastal climate-risk story, but that still changes buyer math.

Extreme HeatFloodHurricane

Editorial review: 2026-06-06 · Data retrieved: Jun 6, 2026 at 00:00 UTC (snapshot of historical values) · For the latest live data, run a lookup on the Snapshot tool.

Above the national median (top 40%)Moderate

Overall Risk Score

Above the national median (top 40%)

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall Risk

Above the national median (top 40%)

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Expected Loss

$19 report reveals this

Est. Insurance

$19 report reveals this

Last Major Event

2022

Dallas flash flooding

Insurance Market Context

These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.

Insurance market data for Texas is band-only in the free snapshot. The full report includes admitted-carrier share, YoY exit rate, and the FAIR Plan / Citizens last-resort premium range.

$19 report

Premium Strain Index

Band: high· specific % in $19 report

Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $1,900 to $4,200. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.

Not an insurance quote. These figures are derived from public state Department of Insurance filings and are intended to surface market pressure signals. Actual premiums depend on parcel-specific underwriting factors and carrier availability. Consult a licensed insurance broker for a binding quote.

Dallas County Hazard Breakdown

Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).

Bottom 20% nationally (82th percentile)

Hurricane

Minimal

Bottom 20% nationally (91th percentile)

Earthquake

Minimal

3 hazards locked

$19 report

Hazard
Risk Level
Score · Source
Hurricane
Bottom 20% nationally (82th percentile)· FEMA
Earthquake
Bottom 20% nationally (91th percentile)· USGS

3 more hazards in the $19 report

Includes score, source, and 30-year projection

What each hazard means for you

Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.

Hurricane Risk

Bottom 20% nationallyMinimal

Dallas ranks in the 20th national percentile for hurricane exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.

FEMA · National Risk Index

Earthquake Risk

Bottom 20% nationallyMinimal

Dallas peak ground acceleration is 0.046g (USGS Design Maps, site class D). For parcel-specific assessment, run an address lookup.

USGS · Design Maps (ASCE 7-16)

3 buyer action checklists locked

The full $19 report includes step-by-step buyer actions for every hazard — flood insurance quotes, defensible-space specs, wind mitigation forms, and HVAC sizing per zone.

FEMA Flood Zone

Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?

The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.

Run a free address lookup

Carrier Outlook

Texas's admitted-carrier market is contracting. A broker with state-specific experience is strongly recommended.

Connect with a broker who writes in TX

Data Sources

FEMA NRINOAAUSGSUSDAEPA
Data Sources & Methodology

FEMANational Risk Index

Retrieved June 6, 2026

View source

USGSDesign Maps (ASCE 7-16)

Retrieved June 6, 2026

View source
View full methodology

Editorial Analysis

Editor's Intelligence
Reviewed June 6, 2026

Dallas received 14 inches of rain in a single day in August 2022—producing freeway closures, neighborhood flooding, and emergency rescues across the metro. The city's flood score of 56, at the 66th national percentile, is moderate by national standards but reflects a real problem: flat urban drainage that concentrates stormwater rapidly when convective events exceed system capacity. Heat at the 90th national percentile is the primary ranked hazard: the extended 2023 North Texas heat wave drove record cooling demand and stressed grid infrastructure over multiple consecutive weeks. Our read: Lakewood's creek and lake proximity changes flood assumptions in ways that the moderate city-level flood score obscures. Old East Dallas's aging infrastructure raises runoff sensitivity that newer construction avoids. The North Dallas corridor's premium housing faces hail-related roof wear that shows up repeatedly in insurance claims histories—a cost variable that coastal-focused buyers often underweight when relocating to the market. Annual premiums range from $1,900 to $4,200. Flood insurance is not typically mandated in most Dallas zip codes, but creek corridors and low crossings deserve detailed review before any offer. Premiums can move quickly after severe-weather claim years—the city's convective-storm frequency makes underwriting volatility a recurring feature, not an anomaly. Hurricane exposure at the 20th national percentile is minimal; this is not a Gulf Coast story. The actual Dallas risk calculus is urban heat, flash-flooding creek corridors, and hail-driven roof wear. Buyers using a coastal template to evaluate this market are solving the wrong problem and building the wrong budget model.

Open Data Collective

Full editorial analysis — including neighborhood-level variations, block-by-block flood overlays, and a tailored insurance-market outlook — is available in the $19 address report.

Historical Events

2022Flood

Dallas flash flooding

Heavy rain caused dramatic urban flooding and freeway closures.

2023Extreme Heat

North Texas heat wave

Extended heat stressed power demand and neighborhood-level livability.

ZIP Code Risk Profile

Representative ZIP Codes

75201

Downtown and Uptown

Urban heat and stormwater access are key concerns.

Look up

75204

Old East Dallas

Older infrastructure raises runoff sensitivity.

Look up

75214

Lakewood

Creek and lake proximity change flood assumptions.

Look up

75230

North Dallas

Heat and hail-related property wear are recurring buyer issues.

Look up

Risk varies significantly by ZIP code and parcel. Use the address-level report for precise, parcel-specific scores rather than city-wide averages.

NRI Score Components

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall RiskModerate
Expected Annual LossSubstantial
Social VulnerabilityModerate
Community ResilienceSubstantial
Resident count at elevated risk
in $19 report

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Dallas Climate Risk FAQ

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Considering buying in Dallas?

Two tiers, one funnel: run a free address lookup, then unlock the depth that fits your buying stage. Both options deliver a 12-page climate brief before you go under contract.

Full Report

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$19per address

12-page address-level deep dive delivered in minutes.

  • Five-hazard score breakdown (flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat)
  • 30-year federal climate projections (FEMA, NOAA, USGS, EPA)
  • Insurance premium estimate (range) based on state DOI filings
  • Clear buy / negotiate / walk-away verdict, not a single ambiguous score
  • 3 comparable lower-risk neighborhoods within 25 miles
  • Saves you 6+ hours of digging through FEMA, NFIP, NRI and NOAA on your own
  • Explains what SFHA, BFE, EAL and residual-market mean in plain English
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Best for: pre-offer sanity check

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Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA

Most comprehensive

Pre-Purchase Audit

Tier L3

$99per property

Adds parcel-level flood evaluation, state insurance-market context, claim history, and a negotiation brief on top of the $19 report.

  • Everything in the $19 Full Report
  • Parcel-level FEMA flood zone + BFE considerations (point-in-polygon)
  • State insurance market pressure + admitted-carrier density
  • Premium Strain Index (% of county median income, vs. 5% unaffordable line)
  • 10-year NOAA Storm Events claim history for the ZIP
  • Negotiation leverage brief with 3-5 specific, evidence-backed asks
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