City Risk Report

Paradise, CA

Butte County · Pop. 6,263

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Paradise is the clearest case in this dataset where wildfire history directly defines present-day market risk.

WildfireExtreme HeatFlood

Editorial review: 2026-06-06 · Data retrieved: Jun 6, 2026 at 00:00 UTC (snapshot of historical values) · For the latest live data, run a lookup on the Snapshot tool.

Top 10% nationallySignificant

Overall Risk Score

Top 10% nationally

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall Risk

Top 10% nationally

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Expected Loss

$19 report reveals this

Est. Insurance

$19 report reveals this

Last Major Event

2018

Camp Fire

Insurance Market Context

These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.

Insurance market data for California is band-only in the free snapshot. The full report includes admitted-carrier share, YoY exit rate, and the FAIR Plan / Citizens last-resort premium range.

$19 report

Premium Strain Index

Band: severe· specific % in $19 report

Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $3,200 to $9,000. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.

Not an insurance quote. These figures are derived from public state Department of Insurance filings and are intended to surface market pressure signals. Actual premiums depend on parcel-specific underwriting factors and carrier availability. Consult a licensed insurance broker for a binding quote.

Butte County Hazard Breakdown

Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).

Bottom 20% nationally (95th percentile)

Hurricane

Minimal

Above the national median (top 39%)

Earthquake

Substantial

3 hazards locked

$19 report

Hazard
Risk Level
Score · Source
Hurricane
Bottom 20% nationally (95th percentile)· FEMA
Earthquake
Above the national median (top 39%)· USGS

3 more hazards in the $19 report

Includes score, source, and 30-year projection

What each hazard means for you

Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.

Hurricane Risk

Bottom 20% nationallyMinimal

Paradise is in an inland state with no Atlantic or Gulf coastline. Hurricane risk is uniformly low at the county level.

FEMA · National Risk Index

Earthquake Risk

Above the national median (top 40%)Substantial

Paradise peak ground acceleration is 0.306g (USGS Design Maps, site class D). For parcel-specific assessment, run an address lookup.

USGS · Design Maps (ASCE 7-16)

3 buyer action checklists locked

The full $19 report includes step-by-step buyer actions for every hazard — flood insurance quotes, defensible-space specs, wind mitigation forms, and HVAC sizing per zone.

FEMA Flood Zone

Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?

The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.

Run a free address lookup

Carrier Outlook

California's admitted-carrier market is severely contracted. A broker who specializes in last-resort coverage (FAIR Plan / Citizens) is essential.

Connect with a broker who writes in CA

Data Sources

FEMA NRINOAAUSGSUSDAEPA
Data Sources & Methodology

FEMANational Risk Index

Retrieved June 6, 2026

View source

USGSDesign Maps (ASCE 7-16)

Retrieved June 6, 2026

View source
View full methodology

Editorial Analysis

Editor's Intelligence
Reviewed June 6, 2026

Paradise's wildfire score is 99—the 99th national percentile, the top of this dataset—because the Camp Fire of November 2018 burned 95 percent of the town's structures, killed 85 people, and became the most destructive wildfire in California history. There is no need to contextualize that number with soft language. It is a description of what already happened, and the same forest-edge conditions that produced that event persist across the 95967 and 95969 zip codes today. The 2020 North Complex smoke season reinforced that rebuilding in Paradise does not reset the fire-risk baseline; it inherits it. What we noticed: underwriting in this market is not conventional. Standard homeowners policies are broadly unavailable, and most buyers depend on layered coverage structures or the FAIR Plan—which covers fire but leaves gaps in other perils. Annual premiums range from $3,200 to $9,000 but are heavily shaped by defensible space assessments, roof material, and access route evaluations. Some insurers require site visits before quoting. Coverage continuity from one renewal to the next is not guaranteed. The Magalia corridor in 95969 sits at the forest edge where wildfire exposure is highest. Post-Camp Fire rebuilding has introduced improved construction standards in some parcels, but the surrounding vegetation and topography have not changed. Community resilience scores at the 52nd national percentile—one of the lowest in this dataset—reflect ongoing recovery stress. Flood at the 41st percentile is the city's lowest-concern hazard. The single question governing every purchase decision here: can this property obtain continuous, affordable coverage in a WUI market that major carriers have largely exited.

Open Data Collective

Full editorial analysis — including neighborhood-level variations, block-by-block flood overlays, and a tailored insurance-market outlook — is available in the $19 address report.

Historical Events

2018Wildfire

Camp Fire

The defining modern example of WUI catastrophe and rebuilding risk.

2020Wildfire

North Complex smoke season

Regional smoke and evacuation strain persisted after initial rebuilding efforts.

ZIP Code Risk Profile

Representative ZIP Codes

95967

Paradise core

Rebuilding standards improve some resilience while fire context remains dominant.

Look up

95969

Magalia corridor

Forest-edge conditions keep wildfire exposure elevated.

Look up

Risk varies significantly by ZIP code and parcel. Use the address-level report for precise, parcel-specific scores rather than city-wide averages.

NRI Score Components

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall RiskSignificant
Expected Annual LossSignificant
Social VulnerabilityModerate
Community ResilienceModerate
Resident count at elevated risk
in $19 report

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Paradise Climate Risk FAQ

Ready to check your specific address?

Considering buying in Paradise?

Two tiers, one funnel: run a free address lookup, then unlock the depth that fits your buying stage. Both options deliver a 12-page climate brief before you go under contract.

Full Report

Tier L2

$19per address

12-page address-level deep dive delivered in minutes.

  • Five-hazard score breakdown (flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat)
  • 30-year federal climate projections (FEMA, NOAA, USGS, EPA)
  • Insurance premium estimate (range) based on state DOI filings
  • Clear buy / negotiate / walk-away verdict, not a single ambiguous score
  • 3 comparable lower-risk neighborhoods within 25 miles
  • Saves you 6+ hours of digging through FEMA, NFIP, NRI and NOAA on your own
  • Explains what SFHA, BFE, EAL and residual-market mean in plain English
  • Single PDF you can hand to your partner, agent, or inspector in one share

Best for: pre-offer sanity check

Delivered: 5 minutes after payment

Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA

Most comprehensive

Pre-Purchase Audit

Tier L3

$99per property

Adds parcel-level flood evaluation, state insurance-market context, claim history, and a negotiation brief on top of the $19 report.

  • Everything in the $19 Full Report
  • Parcel-level FEMA flood zone + BFE considerations (point-in-polygon)
  • State insurance market pressure + admitted-carrier density
  • Premium Strain Index (% of county median income, vs. 5% unaffordable line)
  • 10-year NOAA Storm Events claim history for the ZIP
  • Negotiation leverage brief with 3-5 specific, evidence-backed asks
  • Optional free connection to a licensed independent broker in your state
  • Saves you from discovering an uninsurable address after you've gone under contract
  • Removes guesswork on what to ask for in repairs, credits, or price reduction
  • Analyst editorial sign-off so you can show your agent or lender a reviewed work product, not a raw export

Best for: under-contract buyers

Delivered: 24-hour analyst turnaround

Includes: editorial sign-off + 7-day refund