City Risk Report

Chicago, IL

Cook County · Pop. 2,720,546

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Chicago buyers should model long-term cooling costs and grid reliability alongside storm risk.

Extreme HeatFloodEarthquake

Editorial review: 2026-06-19 · Data retrieved: Jun 19, 2026 at 00:00 UTC (snapshot of historical values) · For the latest live data, run a lookup on the Snapshot tool.

Top 5% most at-risk nationallyExtreme

Overall Risk Score

Top 5% most at-risk nationally

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall Risk

Top 5% most at-risk nationally

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Expected Annual Loss

Top 5% most at-risk nationally

Extreme · county composite

Est. Annual Insurance

$1,350 – $3,560

Directional range

Last Major Event

2018

Hurricane impacts

Insurance Market Context

These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.

Market Pressure

MODERATE

Illinois's admitted-carrier market is showing mild contraction. A broker with state-specific experience helps.

Admitted Market Share

81%

Carriers exiting at 2.7% YoY in Illinois.

Residual Market

$1,890–$4,984

annual · last-resort
FAIR Plan / Citizens exposure up 12% since 2020.

Premium Strain Index

Insurance is roughly 3.3% of median household income — above the 2% middle-income affordability benchmark.

Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $1,350 to $3,560. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.

Not an insurance quote. These figures are derived from public state Department of Insurance filings and are intended to surface market pressure signals. Actual premiums depend on parcel-specific underwriting factors and carrier availability. Consult a licensed insurance broker for a binding quote.

Cook County Hazard Breakdown

Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).

Around the national median

Hurricane

Moderate

Top 5% most at-risk nationally

Earthquake

Extreme

Top 5% most at-risk nationally

Extreme Heat

Extreme

Top 5% most at-risk nationally

Flood

Extreme

Around the national median

Wildfire

Moderate

Data pending

Severe Storm / Tornado

Low risk
Hazard
Risk Level
Score · Source
Hurricane
Around the national median· FEMA
Earthquake
Top 5% most at-risk nationally· FEMA
Extreme Heat
Top 5% most at-risk nationally· FEMA
Flood
Top 5% most at-risk nationally· FEMA
Wildfire
Around the national median· FEMA
Severe Storm / Tornado
· FEMA

What each hazard means for you

Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.

Hurricane Risk

Around the national medianModerate

Chicago ranks in the 49th national percentile for hurricane exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.

FEMA · National Risk Index

Earthquake Risk

Top 5% most at-risk nationallyExtreme

Chicago ranks in the 98th national percentile for earthquake exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.

FEMA · National Risk Index

Extreme Heat

Top 5% most at-risk nationallyExtreme

Chicago ranks in the 100th national percentile for heat exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.

FEMA · National Risk Index

Flood Risk

Top 5% most at-risk nationallyExtreme

Chicago ranks in the 100th national percentile for flood exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.

FEMA · National Risk Index

Wildfire Risk

Around the national medianModerate

Chicago ranks in the 56th national percentile for wildfire exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.

FEMA · National Risk Index

Severe Storm / Tornado

Bottom 20% nationally (safer than most)Minimal

Chicago tornado data is unavailable. Run an address lookup for parcel-specific assessment.

FEMA · National Risk Index

FEMA Flood Zone

Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?

The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.

Run a free address lookup

Carrier Outlook

Illinois's admitted-carrier market is showing mild contraction. A broker with state-specific experience helps.

Data Sources

FEMA NRINOAAUSGSUSDAEPA
Data Sources & Methodology

FEMANational Risk Index

Retrieved June 19, 2026

View source
View full methodology

Editorial Analysis

Editor's Intelligence
Reviewed June 19, 2026

Chicago, Cook County has an overall National Risk Index score of 100 and an expected annual loss score of 100, placing it in the extreme national risk band. The dominant local perils are extreme heat, flood, earthquake. The city-level scores below are county-level composites; actual parcel risk can differ meaningfully by neighborhood, elevation, and lot characteristics. Chicago's extreme heat risk scores 100 at the 100th national percentile, placing it in the extreme band. This is among the highest exposure nationally; standard-market underwriting is increasingly selective and residual-market backup plans are worth modeling. Buyers should model long-term cooling costs, insulation, and grid reliability. Chicago's flood risk scores 100 at the 100th national percentile, placing it in the extreme band. This is among the highest exposure nationally; standard-market underwriting is increasingly selective and residual-market backup plans are worth modeling. Buyers should check FEMA flood zone status, elevation certificate, and drainage history. Chicago's earthquake risk scores 98 at the 98th national percentile, placing it in the extreme band. This is among the highest exposure nationally; standard-market underwriting is increasingly selective and residual-market backup plans are worth modeling. Buyers should verify seismic retrofit status and whether earthquake coverage is included. The Illinois insurance market is currently under moderate pressure: admitted carriers write roughly 81% of new business and the residual market has grown roughly 12% since 2020. For higher-risk parcels in Chicago, the residual market can run from $1,800 to $3,500 annually. Directional standard-market premiums for the city typically range from $1,350 to $3,560, but parcel-specific factors can move quotes well outside that band. Buyers should use the address-level snapshot tool to pin these citywide averages to the specific property under consideration. A full L2 or L3 report will also surface flood zone status, insurance-market pressure, and action items tied to the exact parcel.

Open Data Collective

Historical Events

2018Hurricane

Hurricane impacts

Wind, rainfall, or surge effects from a named storm reached the Chicago metro.

2020Wildfire

Wildfire season

Regional wildfire activity affected air quality and raised insurance scrutiny near Chicago.

ZIP Code Risk Profile

Representative ZIP Codes

60608

Chicago area

View report

60609

Chicago area

View report

60610

Chicago area

View report

60613

Chicago area

View report

60614

Chicago area

View report

60615

Chicago area

View report

60616

Chicago area

View report

60617

Chicago area

View report

60618

Chicago area

View report

60619

Chicago area

View report

60620

Chicago area

View report

60622

Chicago area

View report

60623

Chicago area

View report

60625

Chicago area

View report

60626

Chicago area

View report

60628

Chicago area

View report

60629

Chicago area

View report

60630

Chicago area

View report

60632

Chicago area

View report

60634

Chicago area

View report

60637

Chicago area

View report

60638

Chicago area

View report

60639

Chicago area

View report

60640

Chicago area

View report

60641

Chicago area

View report

60643

Chicago area

View report

60644

Chicago area

View report

60645

Chicago area

View report

60647

Chicago area

View report

60649

Chicago area

View report

60651

Chicago area

View report

60652

Chicago area

View report

60657

Chicago area

View report

60659

Chicago area

View report

60660

Chicago area

View report

Risk varies significantly by ZIP code and parcel. Use the address-level report for precise, parcel-specific scores rather than city-wide averages.

NRI Score Components

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall Risk100/100 · Extreme
Expected Annual Loss100/100 · Extreme
Social Vulnerability62/100 · High
Community Resilience73/100 · High
Resident count at elevated risk
Parcel-level data · run address lookup

Share this report

Most agents don't run climate analysis

Forward this city risk profile to your buyer's agent so they can price insurance and resilience costs into your offer. Sharing helps us keep generating free intelligence for home buyers.

Chicago Climate Risk FAQ

Ready to check your specific address?

Considering buying in Chicago?

Two tiers, one funnel: run a free address lookup, then unlock the depth that fits your buying stage. Both options deliver a 12+ page climate brief before you go under contract.

Full Report

Tier L2

$19per address

Address-level climate risk deep dive covering five hazards, 30-year projections, and an insurance cost estimate. Delivered as a PDF within 24 hours.

  • Five-hazard score breakdown: flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat
  • 30-year federal climate projections for heat, wildfire, and sea level rise
  • Insurance premium estimate range based on state DOI filings
  • Clear buy / negotiate / walk-away recommendation with plain-language reasoning
  • Comparable lower-risk communities within 25 miles (up to 3 when available)
  • Plain-English explanations of SFHA, BFE, residual market, and other insurance terms
  • Single PDF you can share with your partner, agent, or inspector

Best for: pre-offer sanity check

Delivered: PDF by email within 24 hours

Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA

Delivered by email within 24 hours of payment.

Most comprehensive

Pre-Purchase Audit

Tier L3

$99per property

Full due-diligence report for under-contract buyers. Adds parcel-level flood zone verification, state insurance market analysis, claim history, and a negotiation brief with specific seller-concession asks. Delivered as a PDF by email within 24 hours.

  • Everything in the $19 Full Report
  • Parcel-level FEMA flood zone verification (Zone A/AE/VE/X — point-in-polygon)
  • State insurance market analysis: admitted carrier share, exit rate, residual market growth
  • Premium Strain Index — insurance cost as % of local median income, with 2% / 5% affordability benchmarks
  • 10-year NOAA Storm Events claim history for the ZIP code
  • Negotiation leverage brief with specific, evidence-backed seller-concession asks (typically 3–5; fewer when data is limited)
  • Total carrying cost estimate: HO-3 baseline + standalone perils + residual market fallback
  • Identifies whether the property may become hard to insure before you close
  • Gives you specific talking points for price, credits, and contingency negotiation

Best for: under-contract buyers

Delivered: PDF by email within 24 hours

Includes: 7-day no-questions-asked refund

Delivered by email within 24 hours of payment.