City Risk Report

Wilmington, NC

New Hanover County · Pop. 115,451

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Wilmington buyers need to think in terms of repeated rain and river flooding, not just direct hurricane landfalls.

HurricaneFloodExtreme Heat

Editorial review: 2026-06-06 · Data retrieved: Jun 6, 2026 at 00:00 UTC (snapshot of historical values) · For the latest live data, run a lookup on the Snapshot tool.

Top 20% nationallySubstantial

Overall Risk Score

Top 20% nationally

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall Risk

Top 20% nationally

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Expected Loss

$19 report reveals this

Est. Insurance

$19 report reveals this

Last Major Event

2018

Hurricane Florence

Insurance Market Context

These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.

Insurance market data for North Carolina is band-only in the free snapshot. The full report includes admitted-carrier share, YoY exit rate, and the FAIR Plan / Citizens last-resort premium range.

$19 report

Premium Strain Index

Band: severe· specific % in $19 report

Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $2,300 to $6,200. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.

Not an insurance quote. These figures are derived from public state Department of Insurance filings and are intended to surface market pressure signals. Actual premiums depend on parcel-specific underwriting factors and carrier availability. Consult a licensed insurance broker for a binding quote.

New Hanover County Hazard Breakdown

Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).

Top 12% nationally

Hurricane

Significant

Bottom 20% nationally (84th percentile)

Earthquake

Minimal

3 hazards locked

$19 report

Hazard
Risk Level
Score · Source
Hurricane
Top 12% nationally· FEMA
Earthquake
Bottom 20% nationally (84th percentile)· USGS

3 more hazards in the $19 report

Includes score, source, and 30-year projection

What each hazard means for you

Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.

Hurricane Risk

Top 15% nationallySignificant

Wilmington ranks in the 95th national percentile for hurricane exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.

FEMA · National Risk Index

Earthquake Risk

Bottom 20% nationallyMinimal

Wilmington peak ground acceleration is 0.079g (USGS Design Maps, site class D). For parcel-specific assessment, run an address lookup.

USGS · Design Maps (ASCE 7-16)

3 buyer action checklists locked

The full $19 report includes step-by-step buyer actions for every hazard — flood insurance quotes, defensible-space specs, wind mitigation forms, and HVAC sizing per zone.

FEMA Flood Zone

Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?

The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.

Run a free address lookup

Carrier Outlook

North Carolina's admitted-carrier market is contracting. A broker with state-specific experience is strongly recommended.

Connect with a broker who writes in NC

Data Sources

FEMA NRINOAAUSGSUSDAEPA
Data Sources & Methodology

FEMANational Risk Index

Retrieved June 6, 2026

View source

USGSDesign Maps (ASCE 7-16)

Retrieved June 6, 2026

View source
View full methodology

Editorial Analysis

Editor's Intelligence
Reviewed June 6, 2026

Hurricane Florence stalled over coastal North Carolina in September 2018 and deposited more than 35 inches of rain on the Wilmington area over four days—producing river flooding, prolonged access disruption, and recovery timelines that extended weeks for some neighborhoods. Florence's primary damage mechanism was not surge; it was rainfall. That distinction is central to how Wilmington's flood score of 86, at the 94th national percentile, should be read: river systems, marshes, and stormwater drainage drove the losses as much as direct coastal exposure. Hurricane Fran in 1996 remains the durable benchmark for direct wind risk. We checked twice: South Wilmington's 28409 marsh and creek influence rises quickly, creating flood exposure meaningfully different from the historic downtown corridor even within the same city limits. Wilmington Island's 28411 zip code carries higher flood and wind sensitivity—island addresses consistently underwrite differently from mainland Wilmington proper. Back-bay and marsh exposure can matter as much as oceanfront proximity in this market. Annual premiums range from $2,300 to $6,200, with flood insurance required or strongly advisable in most low-lying and coastal-adjacent submarkets. Tree-fall risk and roof age influence storm underwriting: Wilmington's mature urban canopy is an amenity in normal conditions and a wind-damage liability in named storms. Heat at the 76th national percentile is moderate—not the dominant concern—but summer humidity compounds the livability questions that long-duration outages create after major storms. Florence demonstrated that Wilmington buyers need a river-and-marsh flood lens, not just a surge map. The two are related but not identical, and the properties that distinguish them are not always the ones closest to the ocean.

Open Data Collective

Full editorial analysis — including neighborhood-level variations, block-by-block flood overlays, and a tailored insurance-market outlook — is available in the $19 address report.

Historical Events

2018Flood

Hurricane Florence

Rainfall flooding and long recovery periods reshaped buyer expectations.

1996Hurricane

Hurricane Fran

A durable benchmark for coastal North Carolina wind risk.

ZIP Code Risk Profile

Representative ZIP Codes

28401

Historic downtown

River flooding and aging building systems matter.

Look up

28403

Midtown

Drainage and tree damage are recurring concerns.

Look up

28409

South Wilmington

Marsh and creek influence rise quickly here.

Look up

28411

Ogden and north side

Growth pressure intersects with floodplain exposure.

Look up

Risk varies significantly by ZIP code and parcel. Use the address-level report for precise, parcel-specific scores rather than city-wide averages.

NRI Score Components

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall RiskSubstantial
Expected Annual LossSignificant
Social VulnerabilityModerate
Community ResilienceSubstantial
Resident count at elevated risk
in $19 report

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Wilmington Climate Risk FAQ

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Two tiers, one funnel: run a free address lookup, then unlock the depth that fits your buying stage. Both options deliver a 12-page climate brief before you go under contract.

Full Report

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12-page address-level deep dive delivered in minutes.

  • Five-hazard score breakdown (flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat)
  • 30-year federal climate projections (FEMA, NOAA, USGS, EPA)
  • Insurance premium estimate (range) based on state DOI filings
  • Clear buy / negotiate / walk-away verdict, not a single ambiguous score
  • 3 comparable lower-risk neighborhoods within 25 miles
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Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA

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Pre-Purchase Audit

Tier L3

$99per property

Adds parcel-level flood evaluation, state insurance-market context, claim history, and a negotiation brief on top of the $19 report.

  • Everything in the $19 Full Report
  • Parcel-level FEMA flood zone + BFE considerations (point-in-polygon)
  • State insurance market pressure + admitted-carrier density
  • Premium Strain Index (% of county median income, vs. 5% unaffordable line)
  • 10-year NOAA Storm Events claim history for the ZIP
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