Risk Before Buy
ZIP Code Risk Report · VA

23238 Earthquake Risk & Insurance (2026)

23238 in Henrico, VA: earthquake and hurricane risk, est. insurance $1,879–$3,449/yr, and buyer guidance before you close.

Henrico, Virginia 23238

Data retrieved: Sep 14, 2026 at 03:33 UTC

Overall Risk

Below the national median (safer than most)

County-level composite

Est. Annual Insurance

$1,879 – $3,449

Directional range

Premium Strain

3.05% of median income

elevated

Flood Insurance

Not required

Parcel falls outside SFHA

Earthquake-first due diligence

Earthquake risk in 23238: what to check before closing

  • Primary driver: earthquake (score 61) based on federal datasets for 23238.
  • Est. homeowners insurance $1,879–$3,449/yr; ask carriers how earthquake is priced in Henrico.
  • Use nearby-ZIP comparisons to pressure-test price, insurance, and resale liquidity.

Quick buyer brief

What makes 23238 different

A short, indexable summary for buyers comparing 23238 with nearby options in Henrico.

23238 ranks below the national median (safer than most) for overall climate risk, with the biggest current drivers being earthquake or hurricane.

Buyers in this ZIP should budget roughly $1,879 - $3,449/yr for homeowners insurance before carrier-specific adjustments. Flood insurance looks less likely to be mandatory, but parcel checks still matter.

If you are choosing between nearby ZIP codes, compare this page with the state overview and the nearby-ZIP links below before you write an offer.

Virginia overviewContract templatesRun free address lookup

Insurance Market Context

These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.

Market Pressure

MODERATE

Virginia's admitted-carrier market is showing mild contraction. A broker with state-specific experience helps.

Admitted Market Share

80%

Carriers exiting at 2.5% YoY in Virginia.

Residual Market

$1,700–$3,400

annual · last-resort
FAIR Plan / Citizens exposure up 12% since 2020.

Premium Strain Index

Insurance is roughly 3.0% of median household income — above the 2% middle-income affordability benchmark.

Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $1,879 to $3,449. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.

Not an insurance quote. These figures are derived from public state Department of Insurance filings and are intended to surface market pressure signals. Actual premiums depend on parcel-specific underwriting factors and carrier availability. Consult a licensed insurance broker for a binding quote.

Goochland County Hazard Breakdown

Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).

Below the national median (safer than most)

Hurricane

Low

Above the national median (top 39% most at-risk)

Earthquake

High

Below the national median (safer than most)

Extreme Heat

Low

Below the national median (safer than most)

Flood

Low

Bottom 20% nationally (safer than most)

Wildfire

Minimal

Below the national median (safer than most)

Severe Storm / Tornado

Low
Hazard
Risk Level
Score · Source
Hurricane
Below the national median (safer than most)· FEMA
Earthquake
Above the national median (top 39% most at-risk)· USGS
Extreme Heat
Below the national median (safer than most)· NOAA
Flood
Below the national median (safer than most)· FEMA
Wildfire
Bottom 20% nationally (safer than most)· USDA
Severe Storm / Tornado
Below the national median (safer than most)· FEMA

Earthquake Insurance ROI Estimator

CEA-style earthquake coverage math in Henrico, VA

In Henrico, VA, directional earthquake coverage runs about $2,181/yr with a $112,500 deductible exposure (earthquake percentile: 61). Over 30 years, modeled premium spend is $65,430 vs. $18,041 illustrative expected loss.

Borderline — model expected loss near 30-year premium cost.

Est. annual premium
$2,181/yr
Deductible
$112,500
30-yr premium vs loss
$65,430 / $18,041
Earthquake ROI calculatorEarthquake buyer guide

What each hazard means for you

Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.

Hurricane Risk

Below the national median (safer than most)Low

NRI inland hurricane / tropical-storm remnant risk: Below the national median (safer than most) for inland wind and rain exposure (county-level, based on historical tropical cyclone tracks). Storm surge does not apply at this inland location.

FEMA · National Risk Index (HRCN)

Earthquake Risk

Above the national median (top 39% most at-risk)High

Above the national median (top 39% most at-risk) for earthquake exposure. USGS PGA: 0.191g (site class D). NRI county percentile: Above the national median (top 28% most at-risk).

USGS · Design Maps (ASCE 7-16) + NRI

Extreme Heat

Below the national median (safer than most)Low

Long-term heat risk: Below the national median (safer than most) (NRI county baseline). This reflects multi-decadal extreme-heat exposure, not the current week's weather.

NOAA · National Risk Index (HWAV)

Flood Risk

Below the national median (safer than most)Low

County NRI flood risk: Below the national median (safer than most) for flood exposure. NFHL parcel query unavailable.

FEMA · National Risk Index

Wildfire Risk

Bottom 20% nationally (safer than most)Minimal

Blended wildfire risk: Bottom 20% nationally (safer than most). USDA Wildfire Hazard Potential at parcel: Very Low (Class 1/5). County NRI wildfire risk: Bottom 20% nationally (safer than most). The parcel-level USDA score moderates the county NRI signal.

USDA · WHP + National Risk Index

Severe Storm / Tornado

Below the national median (safer than most)Low

NRI severe-storm risk: Below the national median (safer than most) for severe-thunderstorm, hail, straight-line wind, and tornado exposure (county-level).

FEMA · National Risk Index (TRND)

Lower-risk alternatives nearby

Communities within 25 miles of Henrico with a measurably lower composite climate risk. Useful as a comp set when evaluating whether to negotiate on this address or pivot to a nearby one.

Richmond, VA

Above the national median (top 22% most at-risk)

12 miles away

FEMA Flood Zone

Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?

The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.

Run a free address lookup

Carrier Outlook

Virginia's admitted-carrier market is showing mild contraction. A broker with state-specific experience helps.

Data Sources

FEMA NRINOAAUSGSUSDAEPA
Data Sources & Methodology

FEMA— National Risk Index

Retrieved September 14, 2026

View source

FEMA— National Risk Index (HRCN)

Retrieved September 14, 2026

View source

USDA— WHP + National Risk Index

Retrieved September 14, 2026

View source

USGS— Design Maps (ASCE 7-16) + NRI

Retrieved September 14, 2026

View source

NOAA— National Risk Index (HWAV)

Retrieved September 14, 2026

View source

FEMA— National Risk Index (TRND)

Retrieved September 14, 2026

View source
View full methodology

What buyers should know

Buying in 23238: a risk primer

Before you write an offer on a home in Henrico, understand how climate and insurance costs affect long-term ownership in 23238.

23238 in Henrico, Virginia, scores below the national median (safer than most) on our composite climate-risk index. That ranking reflects the combined influence of earthquake shaking risk (61) and hurricane wind exposure (40) in this ZIP code. Before writing an offer, buyers should understand which hazard drives the score and how it shows up in insurance premiums and long-term maintenance costs.

The data below is assembled from five federal sources — FEMA (flood and National Risk Index), NOAA (storm history and heat), USGS (seismic design), and USDA (wildfire hazard potential) — and is refreshed quarterly. Use it as a starting point for due diligence, not a substitute for a licensed inspector, structural engineer, or insurance agent.

Earthquake risk in 23238

The earthquake shaking risk score for 23238 is 61 (high), which is around or slightly above the national median. 23238 has moderate earthquake exposure. Most homeowners policies exclude earthquake damage here, so buyers should price a standalone earthquake policy or rider and verify whether the home is bolted to the foundation and has a cripple-wall retrofit.

For a specific address inside 23238, this score can shift meaningfully. A home on a ridge may have lower flood exposure than one in a valley; a parcel surrounded by irrigated lawn may have lower wildfire exposure than one against open space. The $19 Risk Before Buy report resolves these parcel-level differences and includes a 30-year projection for each hazard.

Hurricane risk in 23238

The hurricane wind exposure score for 23238 is 40 (low), which is around or slightly above the national median. 23238 has measurable hurricane or tropical-storm wind exposure. While not in the highest coastal tier, falling trees and power outages are realistic scenarios. Check whether the HOA or municipality has debris-removal obligations after a storm.

For a specific address inside 23238, this score can shift meaningfully. A home on a ridge may have lower flood exposure than one in a valley; a parcel surrounded by irrigated lawn may have lower wildfire exposure than one against open space. The $19 Risk Before Buy report resolves these parcel-level differences and includes a 30-year projection for each hazard.

Insurance is where climate risk becomes a monthly payment. In 23238, our directional estimate for a standard homeowners policy plus required hazard coverage is $1,879 – $3,449 per year. That estimate assumes a mid-range home and does not include optional coverages such as earthquake, flood (where not required), or higher wind deductibles.

Relative to local incomes, that premium range equals approximately 3.05% of the Goochland County median household income — a elevated premium-to-income burden. As a rule of thumb, premiums above 3–4% of household income begin to compress affordability and can reduce the pool of future buyers when you eventually sell.

Buyer action items

  • Get carrier quotes early. Ask at least two admitted-market carriers and one surplus-line broker for a homeowners quote that explicitly includes earthquake shaking risk and hurricane wind exposure. Do this before the inspection contingency expires.
  • Add a climate contingency to the purchase agreement. Our free Virginia-specific contract templates let you make the deal contingent on acceptable insurance premiums, flood-zone status, or seller-provided mitigation documentation.
  • Order hazard-specific inspections if the top risks warrant it. In 23238, that may mean a flood-zone determination, a wildfire/defensible-space assessment, a structural/seismic review, or a wind-mitigation inspection depending on which hazards score highest.

Frequently asked questions about 23238

Ready to underwrite 23238?

Get the full address-level report

Both tiers use verified federal data. The $19 snapshot is your pre-offer feasibility check (delivered within 5 minutes). The $99 audit adds parcel flood verification, market context, claim history, and a negotiation brief (within 24 hours).

Full Report

Tier L2

$19per address

Address-level hazard and insurance feasibility snapshot — five hazards, 30-year projections, carrier pressure signals, and a buy / negotiate / walk-away read for pre-offer buyers. PDF delivered within 5 minutes.

  • Five-hazard score breakdown: flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat
  • 30-year federal climate projections for heat, wildfire, and sea level rise
  • Insurance premium estimate range based on state DOI filings
  • Clear buy / negotiate / walk-away recommendation with plain-language reasoning
  • Comparable lower-risk communities within 25 miles (up to 3 when available)
  • Plain-English explanations of SFHA, BFE, residual market, and other insurance terms
  • Single PDF you can share with your partner, agent, or inspector

Best for: pre-offer sanity check

Delivered: PDF by email within 5 minutes

Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA

Delivered by email within 5 minutes of payment.

Most comprehensive

Pre-Purchase Audit

Tier L3

$99per property

Under-contract diligence package: parcel flood zone verification, state insurance market analysis, NOAA claim history, and an evidence-backed negotiation brief to assess earnest-money risk. PDF delivered within 24 hours.

  • Everything in the $19 Full Report
  • Parcel-level FEMA flood zone verification (Zone A/AE/VE/X — point-in-polygon)
  • State insurance market analysis: admitted carrier share, exit rate, residual market growth
  • Premium Strain Index — insurance cost as % of local median income, with 2% / 5% affordability benchmarks
  • 10-year NOAA Storm Events claim history for the ZIP code
  • Negotiation leverage brief with specific, evidence-backed seller-concession asks (typically 3–5; fewer when data is limited)
  • Total carrying cost estimate: HO-3 baseline + standalone perils + residual market fallback
  • Identifies whether the property may become hard to insure before you close
  • Gives you specific talking points for price, credits, and contingency negotiation

Best for: under-contract buyers

Delivered: PDF by email within 24 hours

Includes: 7-day no-questions-asked refund

Delivered by email within 24 hours of payment.

Nearby ZIP risk profiles in Goochland

Compare climate and insurance risk across neighboring ZIP codes before you commit to a specific address in Henrico.

Explore 23238 in context

Indexable hub links for buyers comparing 23238 with the wider Henrico market and Virginia insurance trends.

How we score 23238

Free contract templates for Virginia buyers

Download free climate-risk contingency addendums written for Virginia purchase agreements. Add earthquake, hurricane, or flood contingencies to your offer.

Browse free templates